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Trafigura Group delivered a strong financial performance in the first half of its 2026 financial year, posting a net profit of $4.1 billion despite challenging global conditions marked by geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions.

The Singapore-headquartered commodities trader announced its half-year results on 4 June 2026, showcasing broad-based contributions across its major divisions. 

Strong profitability across divisions

Trafigura highlighted that the three-month period ending 31 December 2025 marked its second-strongest first quarter on record.

The Group’s equity rose to a robust $17.5 billion, supported by disciplined capital management, while liquidity reached a record $19.4 billion, including a new $3 billion contingent facility.

Richard Holtum, Trafigura’s Chief Executive Officer, attributed the results to operational excellence rather than simply elevated commodity prices. 

“These results demonstrate the value of the diversified platform we have built, and the importance of disciplined execution,” he said. 

When supply chains are under strain, our teams work harder and move faster to identify solutions and manage increased risks. Our results are driven by the complexity and cost of delivering those solutions, rather than by elevated commodity prices.

Richard Holtum
Trafigura’s Chief Executive Officer

Well positioned before Middle East conflict

A significant portion of the profits was secured before the escalation of the Iran conflict. 

Stephan Jansma, Trafigura’s Chief Financial Officer, noted: “Following a very strong first quarter, a substantial portion of the period’s profits had already been secured before the conflict in the Middle East began, leaving the Group well positioned to respond when conditions changed. This reflected not only strong near-term performance, but also several years of sustained effort to strengthen the business.”

The company is paying a record dividend to its employee-shareholders, reflecting confidence in its capital position and performance.

Outlook remains cautious

While the first half delivered exceptional results, Trafigura struck a measured tone for the remainder of the year. 

“Performance has continued to be good in the second half to-date. However, the external environment is difficult to forecast, with ongoing geopolitical tensions and market volatility presenting a wide range of potential outcomes,” the company stated.

With record liquidity and a strong balance sheet, Trafigura believes it is well placed to capitalise on opportunities and manage risks arising from current market conditions.

Source: Trafigura

Asset optimisation continues

While trading performance remained robust, Trafigura recorded $700 million in impairment charges during the first half, primarily related to the management of its assets division.

The charges were linked to the divestment of assets held by its metals subsidiary, Nyrstar, in Tennessee, as well as Greenergy’s acquisition of French fuel supplier Armorine.

The company said it continues to review and optimise its asset base.

Jansma said Trafigura remains satisfied with its roughly $10 billion asset portfolio but intends to pursue further optimisation opportunities.

The broader commodities trading sector has also benefited from heightened market volatility.

Rival Gunvor said it generated gross profit in the first quarter equivalent to its entire 2025 total of $1.63 billion, with Chief Executive Gary Pedersen previously pointing to an increase in what he described as “constructive volatility.”

Sustainability and long-term focus

Beyond financial metrics, Trafigura continues to invest in renewable energy projects and technologies through entities such as MorGen Energy and Nala Renewables, aligning with the global energy transition while maintaining its core commodities trading business.

The Group, which employs around 14,500 people across more than 150 countries, remains focused on building resilient and sustainable supply chains.

Overall, Trafigura’s record first-half performance demonstrates the strength of its business model in volatile times. 

While near-term uncertainties persist due to geopolitical risks, the company enters the second half with significant financial firepower and operational flexibility. 

Its ability to deliver solutions in strained supply chains positions it favourably to navigate whatever challenges the remainder of 2026 may bring. 

The post Trafigura delivers record half-year profit, dividend amid global tensions appeared first on Invezz

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  • According to data source SoSoValue, investors pulled $3.45 billion over 11 trading sessions as bitcoin plummeted under $70,000 from US spot bitcoin ETFs.
  • This shift occurs at the same time when other indicators of institutional demand are showing signs of weakness.

After Monday’s admission of a minor BTC sale by Strategy (MSTR), the crypto markets continued to hemorrhage downward, with bitcoin (BTC) leading the pack.

Bitcoin was trading around $69,000 an hour before U.S. stock markets opened on Tuesday morning, reflecting a 4.5% decline over the previous 24 hours. Although the $60,000 low on February 6 was brief, there was a wick to the downside. The $63,000 level is likely to be the point at which markets begin to contemplate a “re-test” of the bottom.

Longest Redemption Streak

According to data source SoSoValue, investors pulled $3.45 billion over 11 trading sessions as bitcoin plummeted under $70,000 from US spot bitcoin ETFs, the longest withdrawal run on record. The record-breaking 11-session streak started on May 15, exceeding the eight-day record established in February 2025 and making it the longest stretch of net redemptions since the funds’ introduction in January 2024.

Stocks related to semiconductors and artificial intelligence continue to pique investors’ curiosity, and Wall Street’s penchant for risk is evident with Nvidia’s 6% gain. In the most recent session, investors pulled $484 million out of the funds, contributing to a 4% decline in the price of Bitcoin throughout the Asian trading day.

Although the transaction only accounted for a small portion of Strategy’s holdings, it was the first time the business had sold bitcoin since December 2022 and after months of buy-and-hold advocacy by Executive Chairman Michael Saylor.

This shift occurs at the same time when other indicators of institutional demand are showing signs of weakness. A growing number of people are opting to store bitcoin rather than purchase it, according to CryptoQuant’s most recent weekly analysis.

A further indicator that one of the main demand drivers supporting bitcoin’s surge may be dwindling is the present record ETF withdrawal streak, as pointed out by CryptoQuant, which follows a significant slowdown in ETF and corporate treasury accumulation in recent months.

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  • The outflow on Friday added to the $1.55 billion that has been drained from the ETFs since May 14.
  • The majority of the $2.7 billion in net inflows to the US Bitcoin ETF market this year have originated from IBIT.

The US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund market is about to see net outflows for the year after six days of withdrawals that began on Friday. After Friday’s market loss of $105.2 million—$68.9 million for BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and $36.3 million for Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC)—net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs for 2026 have decreased to $536 million.

Withdrawal Streak Shrinks 2026 Inflows

The outflow on Friday added to the $1.55 billion that has been drained from the ETFs since May 14, when the last net inflow was reported, even though no other Bitcoin ETF based in the US saw a change in flows.

It is possible to gauge the level of institutional interest in Bitcoin and the flow of new money into the cryptocurrency market by looking at the net inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs. The first quarter saw a 70% reduction in Bitcoin ETF holdings at institutional market maker Jane Street and a 10% reduction at investment bank Goldman Sachs.

The majority of the $2.7 billion in net inflows to the US Bitcoin ETF market this year have originated from IBIT, however the industry as a whole is still seeing net inflows for 2026.

While most of its rivals have seen a decline in 2026, its inflows this year are not expected to surpass the $25 billion it received in 2025. So far in 2026, there have been net outflows from US-based spot Ether ETFs, and new altcoin ETFs have failed to meet the same level of demand as their predecessors.

The Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust ETF (MSBT) is one encouraging trend; it debuted on April 8 and has received $264 million in net inflows so far.

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  • Despite almost $2 billion fleeing spot ETFs in the previous two weeks, analysts continued to retain a cautious stance on bitcoin.
  • Assuming stablecoin liquidity is strong and long-term investors exercise patience, Bitcoin can withstand a certain amount of institutional selling.

On Monday, Asian stock markets rose, which helped push Bitcoin up a little, thanks to a precipitous drop in oil prices. As of this writing, the top cryptocurrency by market cap was trading around $77,400, an increase of 0.43% over the last 24 hours, as reported by CMC.

There, bitcoin was trading over the $76,940 mark that represents its 50-day simple moving average, which is a widely followed market indicator. Breakouts above this crucial level are usually seen as positive by traders and chart experts, so they keep a tight eye on the market. Significant other cryptocurrencies also saw slight increases.

Ether (ETH) increased by 0.4%, while XRP and Solana (SOL) both increased by 0.6% or more. On the other hand, Bitcoin remained the only one of the three whose prices were trading above its 50-day moving average.

Following a precipitous decline from last Wednesday’s high of over $104 per barrel, futures linked to West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell over 5% to over $91 per barrel. In early trading, Asian shares soared, with the Nikkei gaining over 3%, the Nifty in India climbing over 1%, and the S&P/ASX 200 in Australia adding 0.4%.

Lingering ETF Outflow Concerns

Though the number of tankers allowed across the strait is still far lower than pre-war levels, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said last week that they had let more than 20 tankers through.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio of the United States recently said that negotiators from Washington and Tehran had “a pretty solid thing on the table” and that a resolution to the hostilities between the two nations may be accomplished by Monday.

Despite almost $2 billion fleeing spot ETFs in the previous two weeks, analysts continued to retain a cautious stance on bitcoin. Finding out whether ETF outflows slow down is the most important indication for crypto. Assuming stablecoin liquidity is strong and long-term investors exercise patience, Bitcoin can withstand a certain amount of institutional selling. Any rise would have a difficult time holding if ETF redemptions continued.

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  • Consistent monthly increase since February indicates a change from accumulation to modest distribution, similar to the bad market of 2022.
  • The annual growth rate of balances for whale accounts containing 1,000 to 10,000 Bitcoin (BTC) has slowed to a negative trend, marking the fastest shrinkage this year.

On Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) made its first move back over $72,500 in six weeks, leading to $342 million in liquidations for bullish leveraged bets. Investors are concerned that bears will maintain control ahead of the $9 billion monthly options expiration, even if there was a recovery bounce to $73,500.

With $3.4 billion in open interest for buys and $2.91 billion for puts, Deribit has a 70% market dominance for the May monthly options expiration. When Bitcoin fell below $78,000 on May 17, however, bulls were taken unawares.

Only $306 million worth of call options will be still in the money if Bitcoin remains below $74,000 as we approach Friday’s expiration. Put options with a strike price of $74,000 or above total $1.05 billion, providing a significant edge to pessimistic tactics.

Mounting Bearish Indications

As the holding structure continues to worsen across significant cohorts, CryptoQuant reports that more and more Bitcoin investors are seeing a reddening of their assets. A report released on Thursday by CryptoQuant said that the annual growth rate of balances for whale accounts containing 1,000 to 10,000 Bitcoin (BTC) has slowed to a negative trend, marking the fastest shrinkage this year.

Consistent monthly increase since February indicates a change from accumulation to modest distribution, similar to the bad market of 2022, it said. “Dolphins” in the Bitcoin market, who own 100 to 1,000 BTC and are mostly owned by exchange-traded funds and corporate treasuries, continue to increase each year, although at a far slower pace.

As the crypto bear market intensifies in response to growing geopolitical and macroeconomic challenges, the holding structure is deteriorating. The long-term holder supply hit a new high of 15.8 million BTC, according to CryptoQuant, but the bearish configuration indicates that new market entrants are not present.

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  • A mystery trader sold 29.2 million shares of BlackRock’s IBIT on Tuesday using dark pool.
  • The net outflow of $333.6 million occurred on the same trading day as the huge IBIT deal, continuing a streak of 11 trading days for US-listed Bitcoin ETFs.

Financial services firm NYDIG’s head of research, Greg Cipolaro, speculates that last week’s $1.26 billion block transaction in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) was probably a whale quickly getting out of a directional move.

A mystery trader sold 29.2 million shares of BlackRock’s IBIT on Tuesday using dark pool, a private trading platform where institutions may covertly conduct big deals outside of public markets. This sparked suspicion over the motives and identities of the seller.

Several signs were “consistent with a large directional holder exiting a concentrated position rather than a contemporaneous basis-trade unwind,” according to a research note by Cipolaro. According to him, a big directional holding was likely selling since the seller accepted the offer for $1.01 less than the market price of $44.17, forewent $29.5 million to guarantee instant execution, and used a private trading platform.

Bitcoin ETF Outflows Continue

Major deals have the power to shift markets and influence public opinion. But in this instance, Bitcoin’s (BTC) value fell 2.8% on the trading day after the deal. Eric Balchunas, an ETF analyst for Bloomberg, said at the time that, despite the large block sell, the market took the sale very well.

The net outflow of $333.6 million occurred on the same trading day as the huge IBIT deal, continuing a streak of 11 trading days for US-listed Bitcoin ETFs, according to data from Farside Investors.

Since the last net inflow was observed across numerous funds on May 14, more than $2.9 billion has been pulled out of the ETFs. At the same time, public opinion has been all over the place. On Monday, the crypto market’s “fear” index—which gauges general opinion about cryptocurrencies—returned a score of 29 out of 100. For the month of May, it likewise averaged a “fear” rating.

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